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May 12, 2012

Replies to 41S

Replies to 41S Error Key Tie Small Medium Blunder
Per XG opening Book < .005 < .02 < .06 > .06
General Notes
Most of these moves are rather obvious
Hit two with 41 - generally right when opponent splits with an ace
Never two down, b/c leaves too many indirect shots. 
9 point builderis very strong.  43 hit & split is clearly correct.  54 hit & split is tied 
63 split and 63 run are tied.
22 each 22/22(2), 6/4(2) to confront the 9 point builder.
44 hit and make 2 point (only time you make 2 point on reply roll)
32 split and reverse split are also tied.
Reply Roll BEST 2nd 3rd
Point Making Rolls 31 P 8/5, 6/5            
                 
42 P 8/4, 6/4        
                 
53 H 24/16*        
                 
61 P 13/7, 8/7        
                 
Split or Slot 21 S 24/23, 1311 $ 13/11, 6/5 0.0204 U 24/21 0.0208
                 
41 K 6/2*/1* U 24/20, 2423 0.0545 S 24/23, 13/9 0.0546
                 
51 S 24/23, 13/8 U 24/28 0.0396    
                 
Split or Two Down 54 S 24/20, 13/8 X 24/20, 6/1* 0.0029      
  old wisdom says hit and split but split may be OK            
52 S 24/22, 13/8 D 13/11, 13/8      
                 
43 X 24/21, 6/2* Z 24/21, 13/9 0.0283 S 24/21, 13/10 0.0367
                 
32 S 24/21, 13/11 Z 24/22, 13/10 0.001 D 13/11, 13/10 0.0337
                 
6-X Rolls 65 R 24/13            
                 
64 P 8/2*, 6/2        
                 
63 S 24/18, 13/10 R 24/15 0.0024    
  distraction play always good run OK b/c you jump over the offense      
62 H 24/16*        
                 
Doubles 11 e 24/22, 6/5(2)            
                 
22 E 24/22(2), 6/4(2) N 13/11(2), 6/4(2) 0.0094 H 24/16*  
  need to confront 9 point builder            
33 B 24/21(2), 13/10(2) E 24/21(2), 6/3(2) 0.022    
                 
44 4 24/16*, 6/2(2)*        
  only time you make 2 point            
55 A 8/3(2), 6/1*(2)        
                 
66 B 24/18(2), 13/7(2)        
                 

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