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May 31, 2012

Replies to 43D

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---cE-aac-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02
Replies to 43D Error Key Tie Small Medium Blunder
Per XG opening Book < .005 < .02 < .06 > .06
General Notes
Always hit if you can or make a home board point.
Always slot with aces.
The power of the 9 point builder gives some exceptions.  Too many good rolls for opponent if you leave him alone
52 and 32 you need to split to confront the 9 point builder
22 - each is necessary to confront the 9 point builder
43D is a bit of a mystery.  "Mirror the opponent's play" is a Tom Keith principle. Tactical reason - The major splits are just too unlikely to work
33.  Up and make the 5 point is a "tapermike" principle.  Make the 5 point if opponent has 4 builders for 5 point.
64 run and split are tied.  Both plays are logical (Run to jump over the offense structure, or split for good distraction play)
Reply Roll BEST 2nd 3rd 4th
Point Making Rolls 31 P 8/5, 6/5                  
                       
42 P 8/4, 6/4          
                       
53 H 24/16*          
                       
61 P 13/7, 8/7          
                       
Split or Slot 21 $ 13/11, 6/5 S 24/23, 13/11 0.0472            
                       
41 $ 13/9, 6/5 S 24/23, 13/9 0.0528      
                       
51 $ 13/8, 6/5 S 24/23, 13/8 0.0206      
                       
Split or Two Down 54 H 24/15*                  
                       
52 S 24/22, 13/8 $ 13/8, 6/4 0.0289 D 13/11, 13/8 0.0311  
                       
43 D 13/9, 13/10 Z 24/21, 13/9 0.0404 S 24/20, 13/10 0.0613  
                       
32 Z 24/22, 13/10 D 13/11, 13/10 0.0117 S 24/21, 13/11 0.0404  
  probably split to confront the 9 point builder.                    
6-X Rolls 65 R 24/13 S 24/18, 13/8 0.0533            
                       
64 R 24/14 S 24/14, 13/9 0.0015      
  leap over the offense distraction play also reasonable            
63 H 24/15*          
                       
62 H 24/16*          
                       
Doubles 11 N 8/7(2), 6/5(2)                  
                       
22 E 24/22(2), 6/4(2) N 13/11(2), 6/4(2) 0.023 H 24/16* 0.0384  
  probably E to confront the 9 point builder (compare to 32D)                  
33 C 24/21(2), 8/5(2) E 24/21(2), 6/3(2) 0.0197 H 24/15*, 24/21 0.0303  
                       
44 B 24/20(2), 13/9(2) H 24/16*(2) 0.0097      
                       
55 P 13/3(2)          
                       
66 B 24/18(2), 13/7(2)          
                       

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