Replies to 51$

Replies to 51$

Error Key

Tie

Small

Medium

Blunder

Per XG opening Book

< .005

< .02

< .06

> .06

General Notes

51$ is one of the weaker slotting plays since opponent only has 1's and 3's to cover.

Always hit except with 11.  Reason is you are ahead in the priming game after making the bar and 5 points.

Counterslot again with 21 and 51.

Also counterslot with 52 and 32 though splitting is also OK.  Reasons: duplication and you be bold against the weaker slotting tries

43 Split beats 43U since there is no blot on 9 point to contest

Run with both 63 and 62; theme again to jump over opponent's offense

33 Cross (up and make the 5 pt) beats E by a significant margin.  Unsure why this is so much better compared to 41$

Reply Roll

BEST

2nd

3rd

4th

Point Making Rolls

31

H

24/20*

42

H

24/20*, 13/11

53

P

8/3, 6/3

S

24/21, 13/8

0.0358

61

P

13/7, 8/7

Split or Slot

21

$

13/11, 6/5

S

24/23, 13/11

0.022

counterslot.  Probably b/c he only has 2 covers

41

U

24/20*, 24/23

51

$

13/8, 6/5

S

13/8, 24/23

0.0047

counterslot b/c of duplication again but split is tied

Split or Two Down

54

H

24/20*, 13/8

R

24/20*/15

0.0154

Hit and Stay

52

$

13/8, 6/4

S

24/22, 13/8

0.0039

D

13/11, 13/8

0.0262

counterslot and split are tied

43

S

24/20*, 13/10

U

24/20*, 24/21

0.022

2 Up is wrong now compared to vs 41$. perhaps b/c we are splitting into stacks now

32

$

13/10, 6/4

S

24/21, 13/11

0.0006

Z

24/22, 13/10

0.0072

D

13/11, 13/10

0.024

gives you good sixes plus dups opp's hit and covers

6-X Rolls

65

R

24/13

64

R

24/20*/14

X

24/20*, 13/7

0.0636

63

R

24/15

$

13/4

0.0274

S

24/18, 13/10

0.0299

trying to jump past his offensive structure

62

R

24/16

S

24/18, 13/11

0.018

$

13/5

0.038

Doubles

11

N

8/7(2), 6/5(2)

H

24/20*

0.0801

don't hit b/c you you have superior priming game and he may not cover

22

e

24/20*, 6/4(2)

hit and make a home board point squeezes most equity from this great roll

33

C

24/21(2), 8/5(2)

E

24/21(2), 6/3(2)

0.0184

Up and make 5 pt.  Not sure why making 3 pt is worse here compared to 41$

44

B

24/20*(2), 13/9(2)

more G's compensates for less wins

55

P

13/3(2)

66

B

24/18(2), 13/7(2)